NDIS-connected dashboard

Connected = Participants + Workers + Provider Owners + Family-linked - Overlaps

Scenario

Overlap estimates (participant-workers, participant-provider-owners, family-linked workers) are modelling assumptions. No public dataset directly identifies these overlaps. Adjust the sliders to test different assumptions.

Scenario settings

Annual participant growth rate 6.0% New child participants per year 46,000 Share of child participants retained into adulthood estimated assumption 60% Disability-sector workers per 100 participants estimated assumption 45 Provider entities per 100 participants estimated assumption 2.3 Share of workers who are also participants estimated assumption 5.0% Share of provider owners who are participants estimated assumption 3.0% Share of workers with a family member who is a participant estimated assumption 20% Hypothetical feedback strength (more providers -> more entry) HYPOTHESIS 0 The hypothetical feedback line does not render until this is above zero. Annual growth in average support cost estimated assumption 5.0% Inflation rate (for real-dollar conversion) estimated assumption 3.0% Annual GDP growth estimated assumption 3.0% Annual Commonwealth spending growth estimated assumption 3.0%

Formula

Connected = Participants + Workers + Provider Owners + Family-linked - Overlaps

Saturation thought experiment

Under these settings, NDIS-connected people do not reach 10% of the population by 2036. Arithmetic exercise, not prediction.

NDIS-connected dashboard

Scenario settings

Formula

Saturation thought experiment

Participants as share of population

Workers as share of labour force

NDIS-connected people as share of population

Budget as share of GDP

Budget as share of Commonwealth spending